INTELLIGENCE BRIEFS #2

Curated content from around Substack

Geopolitical analyst Andrew Korybko has an excellent post on the TRIPP; required reading for anyone who wants to know what’s happening in the Caucasus:

The TRIPP Corridor Threatens To Undermine Russia’s Broader Regional Position

Yasha Mounk has published a very readable review - The Case for China’s Strength. Like it or not, China is the new super-power on the world stage and everyone is going to have to take her into account:

For the foreseeable future, the United States and China are going to be the two biggest powers in the world. Unless these two powers are able to come to some kind of modus vivendi, we will collectively fail at any task, from reining in the dangers of artificial intelligence to preserving the environment, that requires international cooperation. An all-out war between the two nations could quickly turn into an extinction-level event for humanity. And of course, about one in six humans are citizens of China, meaning that anybody who cares about the fate of over a billion people must hope for the country to thrive.

Brian McDonald’s work has been featured here before:

Also worth attention is his post from last month on how the EU is pushing Russia into Asia and why the EU may live to regret that:

There is a brutal kind of clarity that descends when diplomatic theatre gives way to economic warfare. With the unveiling of its 18th sanctions package against Russia, on Friday, the European Union has, once again, reached for the scalpel with a trembling hand and the swagger of a surgeon in a blackout. The measures are billed as decisive. They may prove defining. But not necessarily in the way Brussels imagines.